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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Macron's visit to Poland to seek a stable ally focused on the Ukrainian issue. On the 12th local time, French President Macron visited Poland and held talks with Polish Prime Minister Tusk. The Ukrainian issue was the focus of discussion between the leaders of the two countries.Barclays raised the target price of MicroStrategy from $275 to $515; BTIG Research raised the target price of MicroStrategy from $290 to $570, giving it a "buy" rating.

The US House of Representatives passed a bill to add 66 federal judges in the United States. On December 12, local time, the US House of Representatives passed a bill with 236 votes in favor and 173 votes against, and planned to add 66 federal judges nationwide to alleviate the shortage of federal courts. This is the first major expansion of the US federal judicial system since 1990. The bill stipulates that the number of judges will be gradually increased in six stages in the next 11 years, covering 25 federal district courts in 13 States, including California, Florida and Texas.NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, popular Chinese stocks were mixed, Tencent Music rose over 2%, and Pinduoduo and Baidu rose over 1%. In terms of decline, iQiyi and Youdao fell more than 2%, and Weilai fell more than 1%.Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.

The concept of bean curd set off the tide of research institutions to "break through" the threshold of listed companies, and the theme of artificial intelligence (AI) was once again hot in A shares. This time, bean bag concept stocks have become the "most beautiful" in the market after Kimi concept stocks and Zhipu concept stocks. With the warming of the market, the related listed companies with the concept of bean curd have also been "stepped through the threshold" by institutions. Recently, many Tik Tok bean bag concept stocks such as Zhongke Lanxun, Lexin Technology, Zhongke Chuangda and Haitian Ruisheng have been investigated by hundreds of institutions. (Securities Times)Onshore RMB against the US dollar (CNY) closed at 7.2700 yuan at 03:00 Beijing time, down 85 points from Wednesday night's close. The turnover was $42.042 billion.IBM and Illinois will cooperate with universities and industry to establish the National Center for Quantum Algorithms in Chicago.